Democrats on Defense: 2024 Senate Race Notes

Looking at what should have been a historically bad midterm and aided by a weak economy and an unpopular president, Senate Democrats defied predictions and actually added a seat to their slate in the 2022 midterm cycle. Now the real test is whether they can defy political gravity again, given that they are now looking at an even worse card with either red state or swing state Democratic incumbents nearly putting them up. entirely on defense.

The 2024 Senate map offers 23 Democrats for re-election, compared to just 11 Republicans (one of them being a special election). But if you dig deeper into those nearly two dozen defensive seats, three voted comfortably for President Trump in 2020. Ohio was closest, but dropped off the perpetual slate of presidential states after President Biden l lost by eight points in 2020. And then there are the two states Biden has lost by crushing double-digit margins: Montana (Trump +16) and West Virginia (Trump +39).

Several Senate seats are also presidential battleground states – Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin –

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.